LED 產業年報之旅- AIXG
AIXG 2007 年年報,AIXG股東會投影片(Speaker Note)
在AIXG 的股東會的投影片中,有幾頁比較有趣的
1. Slide 16
化合物半導體MOCVD 三家主要供應商,分別是
AIXTRON(70%), Veeco(18%) 與 Nippon Sanso (10%)
2. Slide 18
提供 RAM, NAND公司CVD 設備的主要供應商為
AIXTRON(48%),Applied Materials(34%),Tokyo Materials(15)。
採用 Applied Material 的CVD 主要公司為 Qimonda及Micron。呵呵,這是成立亞美科技的原因之一嗎?
3. Slide 35/36
如果照AIXG過去兩年的每季營收來計算,2007第四季的訂單要到2008年第三季才有可能出貨安裝,所以Epistar在10月所下的單,第二季肯定是沒有辦法裝機了。
2007 年報重點筆記
2.5 Strategy and Competitive Positioning
MOCVD
OVPD
CVD
在 OVPD 的段落中,說明OLED 的產品仍在早期開發階段,未能有具有意義的營收。
2.8 Research and Development
AIXG 參與幾個新科技的設備研發,分別是
- Next Generation Non-Volatile Memory Development (phase change memeory)
- Organic Light Emitting Diodes (OLED) for lighting applications
- White LEDs on silicon for lighting applications
- Next Generation CMOS circuits with III-V Comopund based Transisters
5.1.4 Development of Orders
CVD的設備在2007年幾乎沒有什麼訂單,參考AIXG在CVD的相關DRAM/NAND供應商,Hynix, SAMSUNG, Promos 是不是在2008沒有新增的生產線呢?
8. Report on Expected Development
由設備商看技術的短/中/長期機會。
Short -Term
- LED backlighting for next generation LCD screens
- LEDs for increasing automotive applications
- Emerging LED external/street lighting applications
- Emerging Solid State Lighting device applications
- Silicon carbide (SiC) hybrid automotive & solar applications
- CVD/ALD: NAND/DRAM memory – next generation applications
- Concentrator solar cells, III-V photovoltaics
- Development of plastic electronics/flexible TFT Backplanes
- OLED: Promising longer term development technology
- III-V – Silicon material convergence
- Development of applications using Carbon Nanotubes CNT
14 則留言:
1. Slide 16
化合物半導體MOCVD 三家主要供應商,分別是
AIXTRON(70%), Veeco(18%) 與 Nippon Sanso (10%)
---------------------------
AIXTRON(得)& ThomasWang(應) 已經合併
3. Slide 35/36
如果照AIXG過去的營收來計算,2007第四季的訂單要到2008年第三季才有可能出貨安裝,所以Epistar在10月所下的單,第二季肯定是沒有辦法裝機了。
----------------------------
不一定!!因為
1.Epistar和Aixtron關係非常好,加上若合約有簽註交機日期,很有可能會完成?!
2.另外,也可能有部份機台是ThomasWang(英),因此極有可能順利完成
張副董說第三季藍光每月會多30KK的產量,但是參考燦圓花了快四個月才開出去年設備的產能(同樣是Aixtron),加上晶電自己已經快兩年沒有擴產了(過去兩年都在併購),新型機,再加上調整設備參數,對於第三季可以增產,持保留態度。
關於"也可能有部份機台是Thomas Swan(英),因此極有可能順利完成",參考Speaker Note 的 common platform 那一張投影片的說明。
Be careful if you hold AIXG
It could collapse...
完全沒有證據的落下兩句話暗示別人賣股票, 到底是甚麼意思? 完全沒有邏輯, 沒有證據, 沒有內容, 好像投顧老師...個人建議版主把這個人的留言刪除.
參閱線圖,http://finance.google.com/finance?q=aixg
已經往下掉了。
另外有一些討論在這裡,請參考。
http://finance.google.com/group/google.finance.708473/browse_thread/thread/2da2396371620dc9
若是MO的設備的話,應該還不會有立即的危機,CVD設備AMAT本來就是強勁的對手,不被AMAT所青睞,就有一些買盤要離開了。
那跟台灣LED產業應該沒有甚麼太大關係吧?!
我認為目前沒有。AIXG若只靠MO設備訂單,單一的營運模式風險比較大。
還有奇力與隆達的訂單。要是GaN on Si研發有成的話,還會有TSM的訂單喔。我認為未來兩年MO設備應該不會太差。
http://www.ledinside.com/tw/news_Taiwan_LED-industry_20080619
預估2008年所有LED台廠將新增100台上下的LED磊晶機台,其中晶電(2448)預計增加22台,廣鎵(8199)也已經投資新台幣5億元購買MOCVD機台,要增加到20台以上,擴充產能為單位10億顆。
現階段各方數據顯示LED磊晶新產能將在2008年Q2末陸續開出,預計2008年底全台LED晶粒成長率將達50%,引發市場擔憂是否會造成產能過剩。
廣鎵5億最多不過增加10台MOCVD...
同意,很多報導都說MO設備要價6000萬到1億,只有5億最多也只可以買到10台 MO 設備。
華新麗華加入LED 長晶陣營。
http://www.compoundsemi.com/documents/articles/gsedoc/10659.html
Walsin Lihwa Invests in Aixtron CRIUS MOCVD Tool for GaN LED Market Debut
擴廠的腳步延後 對 aixg 的影響蠻大的。
http://www.digitimes.com/displays/a20080903PD222.html
Citing more conservative procurement among customers, Epistar and Formosa Epitaxy have decided to hold off their expansion plans, according to company sources.
Epistar currently housing a monthly capacity of 1.3-1.4 billion blue LEDs, up from 800 million as recorded during year-end of 2007. The company originally planned to reach this capacity in June. A similar status is also being seen in ultra-high-brightness (UHB) LEDs. Company sources indicated that Epistar has doubled capacity for UHB LEDs, but the schedule has been postponed by a quarter's time. The sources did not disclose what the company's final UHB LEDs capacity will be.
Formosa Epitaxy originally planned to expand monthly capacity from 450 million units per month to 600 million during year-end of 2008. But the company may slow down its expansion after seeing customers become more conservative. The company has also requested to postpone delivery of its metal-organic chemical vapor deposition (MOCVD) machines by a quarter, according to company sources.
Formosa Epitaxy currently houses a total of 25 sets of MOCVD machines, up from 18 sets as recorded in the same period last year. Despite postponing equipment delivery, the deliveries will still be made in 2009. Therefore, an additional 3-6 sets of MOCVD machines will be added, the sources said.
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